Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British Daily Telegraph on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. (World Wide Web)
German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.
Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Albertson terminated its merger with krogh and announced an increase in dividend and repurchase plan. albertson Company announced that it had exercised its right to terminate its merger agreement with krogh, because the US District Court in Oregon and the District Court in Washington issued an injunction on the proposed merger on December 10th. Vivek Sankaran, CEO of the company, commented: "In view of the recent decision of the federal and state courts to block the proposed merger between the company and krogh, we have made a difficult decision to terminate the merger agreement. We are very disappointed with the court's decision. " In addition, the board of directors of albertson Company plans to increase the quarterly cash dividend from $0.12 to $0.15 per share, and approved a stock repurchase plan of up to $2 billion.TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, and on December 11th, TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, which released 16 technological breakthroughs, including 5 AI applications in all fields and scenarios. In 2024, TCL created economic benefits of 540 million yuan by promoting the implementation of AI applications. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13